Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Indian Equity Market


A Goldmine waiting to be explored
India is among the top investment destinations today. India has a vast potential as rightly pointed out by experts: India is the 4th largest economy in the world and has the 2nd largest GDP among the developing countries, in terms of purchasing power. It is experiencing growth with macro economic stability and is in the process of integrating the global economy. The post liberalization era has generated numerous opportunities leading to collapse of the licensing era. Various research conducted across the globe confirm the fact that China and India will be the economic giants of the 21st century.
While the two populous Asian giants enjoyed nearly double-digit growth rates over the past decade, other countries—low, high and middle income alike—began to worry that India and China’s success might come at their expense. According to experts, the share of the US in the world GDP is expected to fall from 21% to 18% and that of India will rise from 6% to 11% by 2025 and will emerge as the third pole in the global economy after US and China.

By 2025 Indian economy is projected to be 60% of the size of the US economy and by 2035 India is likely to be a larger growth driver than the 6 six largest economies in the EU, though its impact will be a little over half of that of the US.

Indian companies will be the growth drivers for this phenomenal growth hence it will be smart thing to invest in these companies. The point that investors should understand about investing in India is that India is an investment goldmine for long-term growth. While short-term profits maybe churned out from time to time but they are not a penny’s worth in longer run but the gold mine would be for those who would be prepared to stay for the longer run.

The Sensex has given a return of 19 per cent compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) since 1979, higher than any other financial investment instrument available to any retail investor and it has been even higher over the past 3-4 years? To be precise better then any other investment option in the world.

What this means in plain math is a Rs One Lac invested in any average blue chip company in India in the year 1979 is worth Rupees Fourteen Crore or (Rs.140 million). Added to this astounding figure equity investments in India have grown 32% in the past three years alone.
Although Equity does have a very huge down side risk as an instrument of investment, it has the potential to give excellent returns if you invest knowledgably and astutely. Also with the real estate boom slowing down, equity presents itself as the best available option for future investments in this fast growing economy.

Tuesday, September 25, 2007

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Saturday, September 22, 2007

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Wednesday, September 19, 2007

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GMail going offline? Impending death of Microsoft?

Google Gears is a breakthrough open source technology introduced by Google few months back. It eliminates a requirement of “always on” internet access. The possibilities it presents to application developers are innumerable.


Companies like Zoho have already gone offline with certain online applications and it will not be long before most of the apps follow the same direction.

According to highly placed sources, Google has developed an offline version of Gmail. Gmail Offline will allow users to browse, reply, save drafts and do everything that currently Gmail does in an offline mode even when you don’t have an Internet connection. On current indications, this would mean that you would download a software client for this. When you get online your Gmail client would automatically synchronise (sync) with the Gmail server (network computer) and send and receive e-mail. A Google spokeswoman in India officially denies such a thing but there is ample evidence to believe Gmail Offline is in fact a reality and may soon be hitting a browser close to you. This has tremendous implications for corporate e-mail, but more on that later.

The ground for Gmail Offline was set on March 31 this year when Google launched Google Gears, an open-source technology platform under which software developers could create offline Web applications. The following three features that Google Gears provides are noteworthy – and here is where the framework for Gmail Offline is based.

A local server, to cache and serve application resources (HTML, JavaScript, images, etc) without needing to contact a network server. Think of it like a box in which you can put your household goods while moving house while waiting for a packer’s truck to arrive.

The words nearshoring

BANGALORE, India, 13 September Indian IT firms that thrived on the outsourcing boom in the West are themselves headed offshore, from Malaysia to Mexico, to escape the double sting of surging salaries and a rising rupee.
Tata Consultancy, Infosys, Wipro, Satyam and smaller companies are stepping up acquisitions and opening more facilities closer to US and European clients to cut costs -- the reason why work was farmed out to India in the first place.
Salaries of software professionals rose 18.7% in 2007, a survey showed today, while the rupee has gained almost 10% this year to near 10-year highs against the dollar.
That’s eroding the cost advantage once enjoyed by the $50 billion information technology industry, which bills two-thirds of sales in dollars but whose expenses are almost all incurred in rupees.
IT firms are “off-shoring” work to time zones and locations nearer their clients in a reversal of the trend that made Bangalore, India’s Silicon Valley, the favourite back-office of the world’s biggest companies.
Bangalore also gave the English language a new slang verb: being “bangalored” in the US meant a person had lost his job because it had been handed to an IT company in India that would do it for a fraction of the cost.
The term looks set to lose its pejorative punch as the same IT industry, which employs 1.63 million people at home, creates and sustains thousands of jobs abroad.
This week Wipro opened a facility in the Mexican city of Monterrey to service American and European clients and Satyam launched a software centre in MSC Malaysia, a government-designated high-tech zone.
“In the past, we viewed off-shoring as India-centric, but we do not do it any more,” said Satyam founder B. Ramalinga Raju, who on Monday opened the centre to support business in the US, Southeast Asia and the Middle East.
“We look at off-shoring as delivering through high-quality workforce in lower-cost countries,” he said.
Hyderabad-based Satyam has hired 300 mostly-Malaysian IT engineers to man the facility, whose workforce will rise to 2,000 in four years to cater to clients such as GlaxoSmithKline, one of its top 10 customers.
Malaysia was chosen because of its “competitive cost environment,” said Raju, whose company is distributing work to locations where “it makes the most business sense.”
Wipro will add to the 100 employees it hired in Mexico and invest in other lower-cost locations, said chairman Azim Premji, who in August paid $600 million to buy US-based outsourcing firm Infocrossing to serve American clients.
Mumbai-based Tata Consultancy, India’s top software maker, opened a centre in the Mexican city of Guadalajara with 500 employees and said it will employ “thousands more” in the next five years.
Mexico shares a similar time zone with and is within five hours flying distance from anywhere in the US, enabling TCS to provide “nearshore services” to clients, the company said.
Infosys Technologies opened a 400-person facility in the Czech Republic to service European clients and purchased the service centres of Royal Philips in Poland and Thailand besides India. It’s also weighing potential acquisitions.
At home, wage bills are rising as Indian firms compete with multinationals to hire and keep scarce software talent.
The IT industry’s average annual salary rose 11 % this year to Rs620,000 (15,320 dollars), said a survey by the market-research firm IDC India for Dataquest magazine, a considerable amount in a country where the per capita income is less than $900.
“Indian tech companies must find a way out of this ever increasing wage rise as rupee appreciation squeezes their margins further,” said the industry survey.
The rupee is rising on inflows of billions of dollars into an economy growing 9% a year.
But costs alone are not driving the “dispersal of the IT industry around the globe,” said Kiran Karnik, president of the industry grouping National Association of Software and Service Companies, or Nasscom.
“Cost optimization is just one reason,” he said. “Proximity to clients is also important, both geographically and culturally. If you want to serve clients in the US or Spanish-speaking Latin America, it makes sense to be in Mexico.”